This year's car exports plummeted to a fixed number of uncertainties in the market next year


This year's car exports fell to a foregone conclusion

Executive Vice President and Secretary-General Dong Yang of China Automotive Industry Association

China has become the world's major auto-producing country and auto market. At the 7th China Automotive Industry Summit Forum in China and the EU, Executive Vice President and Secretary-General Dong Yang of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers believes that the production and sales volume of autos is expected to reach 13 million this year. Vehicle.

Then, in the next year, will the automobile industry's preferential policies continue? Can China's auto market continue this rapid growth? Dong Yang accepted an interview with reporters.

Dong Yang analyzed the situation of automobile production and sales and said that monthly sales of automobiles reached the highest point in March 2008 at 1,056,600 units, and then fell month by month. In August last year, it fell to only 629,000 units. This year's situation is It was an excellent one. After reaching 1.1 million vehicles in March, it maintained sales of more than 1 million vehicles from April to October, of which 1.33 million vehicles were sold in September and 1.22 million vehicles in October. "I personally estimate that this year we should be able to achieve 13 million production and sales."

On the export side, Dong Yang said that due to the global economic downturn, the sharp decline in auto exports this year is a foregone conclusion. The data shows that the decline in exports has narrowed. In fact, the main reason for the narrowing is that the volume of the second half of the year also dropped. It's down. Overall, the growth of the domestic market compensated for the decline in some exports, thus realizing the total growth of the automotive industry.

Uncertain factors in the market next year

Regarding the situation of the auto market next year, Dong Yang said: “There are still some unstable factors in the auto market next year, and we should not estimate that there will be higher growth. If the policies are right, I think it can achieve a 10% growth if the auto industry The preferential policies cannot be continued. I don't know what will happen next year."

Because this year's auto industry's preferential policies did not involve heavy trucks, with the upgrading of national emission standards next year, some companies currently estimate that this will increase the cost of car purchases by around 20,000 yuan. Will this be a continuation of the relevant departments to extend the automobile concessionary policies? To heavy truck field considerations? In response, Dong Yang said that in fact, at the beginning of this year, the association had submitted a report and applied for a purchase tax preferential policy for trucks. However, the report has not yet had time to pass, and the truck market has already recovered. Therefore, he is not aware of this. Whether there will be preferential policies for trucks next year.



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